Well, this is the worst, and I saw it coming: the pain in the ass that will give us about why the PP has lost. And besides, we were ungrateful because they have been saying for 3 years: that if the tension, if the hardness of the PP, if extreme right, bla bla bla. And finally, it has lost the PP, because people do not like the tension and the speech is harsh, but the mood, dialogue, moderation, etc ... And we're getting the pain in the ass with it for a few months and hesitate to say within 3 years if necessary. Comes in handy, as something they goes wrong, and criticize the opposition to remind us all that if we have not learned the lesson.
is true that the PP lost the elections, and hoped to win them seriously, and is, ultimately, the PP whose turn it is to analyze the results, see what they did wrong and what strategy will continue to next 4 years.
However, we can say whatever they want, if we analyze the results do not coincide at all with what we have warned those friendly political analysts.
As said, the PP is intended to approach the center, however, his speech hoarse would ever closer to the extreme right or extreme right. But if we the results, the PP has won 406,829 more votes than in past elections and have not been precisely the extreme right. The parties that could be considered extreme right have lost votes, but have been won. No vote has been useful to right-wing PP.
I have taken the results of these elections and have added the results obtained by the major parties of the extreme right to the last elections, these are: FA of Jons, Democracia Nacional, Spain 2000 and Authentic Falange. These formations amounted to 36,266 last general election and these elections have achieved 38,317. They have won votes and they could add those of AES, that from 2004 no data. That is, with this already, the PP has won almost half a million votes, and have not been on the extreme right. Where did he get? We will have to see what formations have lost votes. In addition, we are talking about has been almost equal participation in past elections. They have lost votes and seats and Ezquerra IU. IU in the last elections won 1,269,532 votes, and these have got 963,040 votes (Llamazares Congratulations to IU has managed to pass the 2,639,774 in 1996 to 963,040 yesterday). Ezquerra there has been a tremendous thud, which has risen from 652,196 votes in 2004 to 296,473 in this election, losing 355,723 votes. For Ezquerra deduce that many of these votes have gone to the abstention, and abstention has been a nearly 5-point difference compared to past elections.
Returning to the above, the PP has added nearly a half million more votes, and IU and Ezquerra have lost a few thousand votes. Also here I get to UPyD, which has added just over 300,000 votes. We need between UPyD and PP have added about 700,000 votes had to come from somewhere. Ezquerra UI and have lost votes, but we understand that the lost votes and Ezquerra IU have not been to PP, or UPyD. UPyD
PP and 700,000 votes have gotten together and have not gone or IU, or Ezquerra or the extreme right. Well that is not otherwise have left the center, and have been caught at the center of the PSOE. Watch your where. It is clear that the PSOE has taken those on the far left.
summary, the PP will have many tests to check how they will lead his party to score more votes and win the next election. But of course, it is clear, according to the results that his alleged speech bronco and the strategy of tension have not subtracted votes from the center, but won them. And it is clear that the alleged temper and moderation of Zapatero has not been such as he has lost votes from the center and has won the ultra-left.
Of course, despite this, I am not the slightest doubt that the kind Political analysts progressives are going to continue counting the PP has lost the tension, and that should change by moderation and all that.
And I say, yes, the PP has to analyze the results, and clearly will have to study very well what they should do for the 4 years to come. But people moderate and center so you do not like are sanitary cordons, Tinell pacts, fines for labeling in Castilian, political negotiations with ETA or the Catalan statutes nobody cares.
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